Legislature(2015 - 2016)HOUSE FINANCE 519

01/28/2016 09:00 AM House FINANCE

Note: the audio and video recordings are distinct records and are obtained from different sources. As such there may be key differences between the two. The audio recordings are captured by our records offices as the official record of the meeting and will have more accurate timestamps. Use the icons to switch between them.

Download Mp3. <- Right click and save file as

Audio Topic
09:03:26 AM Start
09:05:15 AM Presentation: Sovereign Wealth Funds & Rule-based Resource Revenue Management: Global Trends, Challenges and Best Practices by Malan Rietveld, Managing Director, Rietveld Consultancy, Inc.
10:42:25 AM Adjourn
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
-- Time Change --
+ Sovereign Wealth Funds & Rule-Based Resource TELECONFERENCED
Revenue Management: Global Trends, Challenges &
Best Practices by Malan Rietveld, Managing
Director, Rietveld Consultancy, Inc.
                  HOUSE FINANCE COMMITTEE                                                                                       
                     January 28, 2016                                                                                           
                         9:03 a.m.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:03:26 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CALL TO ORDER                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Thompson   called  the  House   Finance  Committee                                                                    
meeting to order at 9:03 a.m.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Representative Mark Neuman, Co-Chair                                                                                            
Representative Steve Thompson, Co-Chair                                                                                         
Representative Dan Saddler, Vice-Chair                                                                                          
Representative Bryce Edgmon                                                                                                     
Representative Les Gara                                                                                                         
Representative Lynn Gattis                                                                                                      
Representative David Guttenberg                                                                                                 
Representative Scott Kawasaki                                                                                                   
Representative Cathy Munoz                                                                                                      
Representative Lance Pruitt                                                                                                     
Representative Tammie Wilson                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
None                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
ALSO PRESENT                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Jerry  Burnett,  Deputy   Commissioner,  Treasury  Division,                                                                    
Department  of Revenue;  Malan Rietveld,  Managing Director,                                                                    
Rietveld  Consultancy  Inc.;  Representative  Cathy  Tilton;                                                                    
Representative Jim Colver.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
SUMMARY                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
PRESENTATION: SOVEREIGN  WEALTH FUNDS &  RULE-BASED RESOURCE                                                                    
REVENUE  MANAGEMENT:  GLOBAL  TRENDS,  CHALLENGES  AND  BEST                                                                    
PRACTICES  BY MALAN  RIETVELD,  MANAGING DIRECTOR,  RIETVELD                                                                    
CONSULTANCY, INC.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Thompson  reviewed the  agenda  for  the day.  The                                                                    
committee  would  be  hearing a  presentation  on  sovereign                                                                    
wealth funds  by Malan Rietveld.  Mr. Rietveld was  a fellow                                                                    
of  the  Center  for International  Development  within  the                                                                    
Kennedy School  of Government at Harvard  University. He was                                                                    
also  the director  of Kalytix  Partners.  Mr. Rietveld  has                                                                    
worked  around the  world  assisting  countries in  creating                                                                    
sovereign  funds  that help  create  a  permanent source  of                                                                    
income.  The presentation  would not  address any  bills but                                                                    
would  provide  the  committee  with  information  regarding                                                                    
sovereign   wealth  funds   and   the  pros   and  cons   of                                                                    
establishing  these  endowment  funds.  He  asked  committee                                                                    
members  to  hold their  questions  until  Mr. Rietveld  has                                                                    
completed  his  presentation  unless the  question  directly                                                                    
related to understanding the material being presented.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
^PRESENTATION: SOVEREIGN WEALTH  FUNDS & RULE-BASED RESOURCE                                                                  
REVENUE  MANAGEMENT:  GLOBAL  TRENDS,  CHALLENGES  AND  BEST                                                                  
PRACTICES  BY MALAN  RIETVELD,  MANAGING DIRECTOR,  RIETVELD                                                                  
CONSULTANCY, INC.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
9:05:15 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
JERRY  BURNETT,  DEPUTY   COMMISSIONER,  TREASURY  DIVISION,                                                                    
DEPARTMENT  OF   REVENUE,  introduced  Malan   Rietveld.  He                                                                    
reported  that   Mr.  Rietveld  came   to  Alaska,   gave  a                                                                    
presentation  to  the  administration  on  sovereign  wealth                                                                    
funds and rule-based  management. The administration invited                                                                    
him  back  to  speak  to the  legislature.  He  thanked  Mr.                                                                    
Rietveld for  being present and  turned to him to  begin his                                                                    
presentation.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Representative   Thompson   indicated  that   Representative                                                                    
Pruitt had joined the meeting.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MALAN  RIETVELD,  MANAGING  DIRECTOR,  RIETVELD  CONSULTANCY                                                                    
INC.,  provided  his  history working  on  sovereign  wealth                                                                    
funds (SWFs). He  was a trained economist and  worked for 10                                                                    
years   on   issues   concerning   sovereign   wealth   fund                                                                    
management.  The term  "Sovereign  Wealth  Fund" was  coined                                                                    
about  10  years  ago.  He  noted  the  funds  had  been  in                                                                    
existence for  much longer than  the name. He had  worked on                                                                    
issues  related  to  SWFs and  resource-rich  jurisdictions,                                                                    
countries, states,  and provinces around the  world from the                                                                    
Middle East to Norway to a  number of US state funds. He was                                                                    
also  doing  his  PhD  on  the  subject,  which  was  nearly                                                                    
complete.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
9:07:13 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.   Rietveld  introduced   the  PowerPoint   presentation:                                                                    
"Managing   natural  resource   funds:  global   trends  and                                                                    
practices"  (copy  on  file).  He  began  with  providing  a                                                                    
context of the growth of  SWFs in recent decades. He pointed                                                                    
to slide 1:  "The growth of new SWFs" which  contained a map                                                                    
of the world and the areas  in which SWFs were operating. He                                                                    
noted that the  red highlighted areas were  the locations of                                                                    
the largest SWFs.  There was a number of large  funds in the                                                                    
Middle East in  Abu Dhabi, Saudi Arabia,  Kuwait, and Qatar.                                                                    
He  thought  the  great amount  of  economic  and  political                                                                    
diversity in  the funds was  striking. He would  address the                                                                    
significant differences shortly in terms  of the size of the                                                                    
funds relative to  the domestic economy and  relative to the                                                                    
size of the budget and the government spending needs.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld believed it was  useful to consider that within                                                                    
the  world of  SWFs  there  were a  few  different kinds  of                                                                    
funds. He  would emphasize three  types of funds.  The first                                                                    
instance  was stabilization  funds,  which was  particularly                                                                    
relevant to countries that  funded themselves mainly through                                                                    
natural  resources  subject  to tremendous  volatility.  The                                                                    
function of a  stabilization fund was to  provide support in                                                                    
stabilizing  government  spending. Consequently,  the  funds                                                                    
typically held  liquid assets that  were available  on short                                                                    
notice  for stabilization  purposes. The  second group  were                                                                    
outright  savings  funds. The  point  of  the funds  was  to                                                                    
accumulate   savings.  They   typically  invested   in  more                                                                    
diversified  portfolios  with  greater risk  orientation  in                                                                    
exchange   for  higher   expected   returns.  The   defining                                                                    
characteristic  was   that  they  did  not   typically  have                                                                    
drawdowns. The idea was to  accumulate assets for the future                                                                    
either for  a specific  earmarked purpose. For  example, the                                                                    
SWFs in  Australia and New  Zealand were required to  meet a                                                                    
pension liability by 2030 and  2035 respectively. Again, the                                                                    
SWFs defining  characteristics included the  accumulation of                                                                    
funds and  the compounding  of earnings  without sustainable                                                                    
draws or the provision of annual income.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  stated the third and  largest most interesting                                                                    
group  was   investment  income  funds.  The   funds  invest                                                                    
similarly to savings funds but  they provided an annual flow                                                                    
based on  a variety  of different mechanisms  unlike savings                                                                    
funds. They  were important in the  context of resource-rich                                                                    
countries  and   jurisdictions  because  they   provided  an                                                                    
alternative source  of revenue to government  in addition to                                                                    
revenues funded by natural  resources. Essentially all North                                                                    
American  permanent  funds  operated  as  investment  income                                                                    
funds.  The  only  exception was  the  recently  established                                                                    
North  Dakota  fund,  which  was  acting  as  savings  fund.                                                                    
However, the  intention was to  transform it into  an income                                                                    
fund  within the  next  5  to 10  years.  Simply put,  North                                                                    
Dakota was  still accumulating assets with  the intention to                                                                    
draw on  the assets in  a sustainable manner down  the road.                                                                    
He mentioned  that it was  interesting that all of  the SWFs                                                                    
in  the world  really were  the Texas  funds. Texas  had the                                                                    
Texas  Permanent Schools  Fund,  the oldest,  and the  Texas                                                                    
Permanent University  Fund, which  managed assets  earned on                                                                    
state  land that  belonged to  the  two respective  systems.                                                                    
Their investment  incomes were used  to fund the  school and                                                                    
university systems, which had been founded in the 1850s.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld did  not want  any confusion  around why  sub-                                                                    
national jurisdictions used the  word sovereign. All working                                                                    
definitions  of SWFs  would include  funds  like the  Alaska                                                                    
Permanent Fund, the Wyoming Permanent  Fund, and others. The                                                                    
idea  of  sovereign meant  that  ultimately  the funds  were                                                                    
managed by  a government  in trust by  the citizens  and for                                                                    
the  benefit  of  the citizens.  He  felt  very  comfortable                                                                    
thinking of the Alaska Permanent  Fund as a sovereign wealth                                                                    
fund.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
9:12:08 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld discussed the chart  on slide 2: "The growth of                                                                    
new SWFs."  He relayed that  the chart showed the  growth of                                                                    
SWFs  by periods.  There were  three interesting  periods in                                                                    
Texas and New  Mexico in the 19th century.  At the inception                                                                    
of  statehood, they  created funds  to help  fund government                                                                    
priorities. Funds  were established in  the 70s and  80s, in                                                                    
response  to  the  commodity  price  boom  of  the  70s  and                                                                    
production   increases.  The   Middle   Eastern  funds   had                                                                    
typically been established  in the oil shocks  period of the                                                                    
70s. The  Alaska Permanent Fund  was created in 1976  as was                                                                    
the Alberta  Heritage [Savings Trust]  Fund and a  number of                                                                    
North American  state permanent  funds. More  recently since                                                                    
2000,  there had  been a  real proliferation  of funds.  The                                                                    
concept was essentially  catching on and had  been tried and                                                                    
tested as a sensible and  prudent way to manage volatile and                                                                    
depleting (in  most instances)  natural resource  assets and                                                                    
income.  The added  that the  overwhelming majority  of SWFs                                                                    
were created  by the proceeds from  natural resources. There                                                                    
were also funds,  particularly in Asia, that  were funded by                                                                    
other forms  of government surpluses and  government revenue                                                                    
such  as privatization  proceeds,  foreign exchange  reserve                                                                    
accumulation related  to exchange  rate policies,  and other                                                                    
surpluses. He noted  that the majority of  funds (75 percent                                                                    
to 80 percent of assets)  were held by countries that funded                                                                    
them through natural resource revenues.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld advanced to slide  3: "Major global trends: the                                                                    
context." He framed  three distinct eras that he  saw in how                                                                    
SWFs had historically  evolved. The first group  was what he                                                                    
called SWFs  1.0. In the  case of the first  permanent funds                                                                    
and what  happened in  the 70s  in the  Middle East  and the                                                                    
North  American  permanent funds  the  emphasis  was on  the                                                                    
simple  process  of  creating  a  fund,  a  major  step.  It                                                                    
required  getting  the  legal  foundations  established  and                                                                    
installing a discipline where the  state or government would                                                                    
not spend  all revenues but was  going to put it  aside in a                                                                    
structure  with its  own legal  identity. Consequently,  the                                                                    
investment model  for these kind  of funds was  very simple:                                                                    
Cash balances  were maintained without a  significant amount                                                                    
of attention  paid to the  fund's investment styles  and the                                                                    
use  of the  funds. The  idea behind  a fund  was to  try to                                                                    
insulate a share of revenues  from the budget process. Often                                                                    
they  came because  of a  political compromise.  One of  the                                                                    
more  interesting  examples was  the  State  of Wyoming.  In                                                                    
1976, there  were proponents  of a  higher severance  tax on                                                                    
production.  Members of  the  legislature  and the  governor                                                                    
were concerned that if the  increase in severance taxes came                                                                    
to pass all  of the additional revenue would be  spent. As a                                                                    
compromise, the  Wyoming Permanent Fund was  created so that                                                                    
the excess revenues  would flow to the permanent  fund to be                                                                    
spent over  successive generations rather  than immediately.                                                                    
If  the money  had  been spent  immediately,  it would  have                                                                    
likely been destabilizing to the state.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:16:25 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld scrolled to slide  4: "Major global trends: the                                                                    
context." He  reported that around  the turn of  the century                                                                    
there was a shift to what he  referred to as SWFs 2.0 when a                                                                    
number of things happened. There  was a significant increase                                                                    
in the number of funds and  a significant growth in the size                                                                    
of the  assets managed  by the  funds because  of increasing                                                                    
revenues to  fund them and healthy  financial returns. There                                                                    
was   also  an   emergence   of   non-resource  based   SWFs                                                                    
particularly in Asia, China, and  Korea. Singapore had funds                                                                    
earlier but  theirs had increased significantly  during this                                                                    
period. The  Sovereign Wealth  Fund model  became mainstream                                                                    
around the  Asian financial  crisis in  1998 until  2014. It                                                                    
became standard advice for  the international monetary fund,                                                                    
for  example,  in  advising  countries  that  were  resource                                                                    
dependent  and  resource rich  as  a  way to  manage  fiscal                                                                    
affairs. It lead to the  creation of the International Forum                                                                    
of Sovereign Wealth Funds eight  years previously. The group                                                                    
was a  convening body for  all the international  funds. The                                                                    
Alaska Permanent Fund was an  active member of the forum and                                                                    
met at least once annually. It  was a place to discuss ideas                                                                    
and share best practices. The group  had come up with a list                                                                    
of 24  general governance principles and  practices of which                                                                    
the  Alaska  Permanent Fund  was  in  full compliance  as  a                                                                    
global leader  of good SWF  practices. He added  that around                                                                    
the  same  period  there  was  greater  political  consensus                                                                    
concerning the purpose of the  funds. Countries that had the                                                                    
funds imbedded in  their constitution had less  of an issue.                                                                    
In the  Middle East, there  was a break from  the historical                                                                    
tendency to  dip into  the funds  without any  principle and                                                                    
rule  behind it.  Countries  gradually  began to  understand                                                                    
that the funds  were there for a particular  purpose and for                                                                    
the  long-term. Finally,  there  was  significant growth  in                                                                    
media  attention,  policy  analysis, and  academic  research                                                                    
devoted to SWFs.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:18:37 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  skipped to  slide 6:  "SWFs 3.0:  Adjusting to                                                                    
new fiscal realities." He contended  that the collapsing oil                                                                    
prices especially since  late 2014 was heralding  in the new                                                                    
era of SWFs  3.0. He would briefly run through  what the key                                                                    
issues  were  presently.  He  thought  it  would  frame  the                                                                    
discussion  in  House Finance.  It  would  give members  the                                                                    
sense that Alaska  was by no means alone  in confronting the                                                                    
issues. He  believed the most important  issue presently for                                                                    
resource-based countries  given the most recent  drop in oil                                                                    
prices  was to  consider the  savings mechanism  as well  as                                                                    
paying greater  attention to thinking about  the sustainable                                                                    
and sensible  approach to using investment  income, to using                                                                    
earmarked  pools of  assets. Accumulated  in  good times  to                                                                    
help  support  spending  and  economic  stability  in  tough                                                                    
times. He was  seeing the replacement of what  he called old                                                                    
rules of thumb that worked quite  well in a rising tide. The                                                                    
simple  process for  saving assets  was shifting  to a  more                                                                    
sophisticated set of policies  combining a savings rule with                                                                    
a sensible spending rule. He  thought Norway, Abu Dhabi, and                                                                    
Chile  were three  examples of  countries that  were already                                                                    
there.  The majority  of resourced-based  SWFs were  getting                                                                    
there.  All three  of the  countries  operated in  different                                                                    
contexts and  different degrees  of resource  dependence. In                                                                    
broad strokes,  they were at  the vanguard of  countries and                                                                    
governments that  had already moved  in the  same direction.                                                                    
As  people  thought   through  appropriate  combinations  of                                                                    
savings and spending rules, the  focus in the first instance                                                                    
was  to  avoid a  depletion  of  funds  in tough  times  for                                                                    
commodity producers.  He suggested  it would  be less  of an                                                                    
issue   if  an   entity's  principle   was  constitutionally                                                                    
protected. For  many countries,  it was  not the  case. They                                                                    
had to  take action  to ensure that  the fund's  capital and                                                                    
assets  were protected.  Once that  was  achieved, the  real                                                                    
objective for commodity dependent  countries was to decouple                                                                    
spending  from  the  underlying commodity  cycle.  The  real                                                                    
question was  what role  could SWFs  and the  spending rules                                                                    
around SWFs play in breaking  the historical cycle that many                                                                    
countries  and  jurisdictions  suffer  from  where  spending                                                                    
tended to track  oil prices and oil revenue.  He stated that                                                                    
an  ebbing  tide had  revealed  that  some people  had  been                                                                    
swimming   naked.  He   elaborated   that  essentially,   as                                                                    
commodity  prices  were  rising   there  was  a  significant                                                                    
interest in  the SWF model  because it was working  well. As                                                                    
the tide  ebbed, there were  some elements,  particularly on                                                                    
the  spending  side, that  needed  further  work to  improve                                                                    
spending  and  savings  policies  making  them  more  robust                                                                    
through the commodity cycle.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
9:21:50 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  advanced to slide  7: "SWFs 3.0:  Adjusting to                                                                    
new fiscal realities."  He continued that in  going into the                                                                    
SWF era of  adjusting to new fiscal  realities for commodity                                                                    
producers  there were  three groups  of  countries. Group  A                                                                    
were countries  that never  saved enough  initially. Despite                                                                    
the uninterrupted rise in commodity  prices between 2004 and                                                                    
2014, (2009  was an exception) countries  like Venezuela and                                                                    
Nigeria were  unable to save in  a boom period to  help them                                                                    
in the  current environment.  He reported they  were hurting                                                                    
and in trouble.  Group B, including Russia  and Saudi Arabia                                                                    
had managed  to achieve  some savings  in the  prior decade.                                                                    
However, in  the absence of sustainable  rule-based spending                                                                    
policies  they were  presently  drawing  down and  depleting                                                                    
their assets  rapidly. He would  discuss Saudi  Arabia later                                                                    
in the presentation  as a cautionary tale.  The group Alaska                                                                    
wanted to associate  itself with, Group C,  was reforming or                                                                    
considering  the  appropriateness  of  saving  and  spending                                                                    
rules.  Abu Dhabi,  Kuwait, Norway,  Chili, and  potentially                                                                    
Saudi  Arabia  were  in  Group  C or  were  moving  in  that                                                                    
direction. He suggested that despite  all of the pressure on                                                                    
the SWF  model, the framework was  attractive for countries.                                                                    
He had  counted 17 countries  that had drawn  legislation to                                                                    
create  SWFs,  particularly  countries that  had  discovered                                                                    
natural  resources in  the past  decade. It  was also  under                                                                    
consideration in a number of additional countries.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld pointed to the pie  charts on slide 9: "Oil's %                                                                    
of revenue & fiscal break-even  price." He wanted to provide                                                                    
a  context  of  where  he   saw  Alaska  relative  to  other                                                                    
countries that  had significant resource revenues  and SWFs.                                                                    
He  noted  that the  horizontal  axis  showed the  share  of                                                                    
government  revenue  from  oil.  It was  a  measure  of  the                                                                    
government's  and   the  budget's  dependence  on   oil.  He                                                                    
referred to the vertical axis.  He wondered what kind of oil                                                                    
prices were necessary  to balance the books  if the spending                                                                    
patterns of  recent years  were maintained  given production                                                                    
volumes.  The   two  matrices  indicated  Alaska   being  in                                                                    
uncomfortable  territory -  it was  highly dependent  on oil                                                                    
revenue to fund  government. He reported that  80 percent of                                                                    
government revenues came  from oil. In good  years with high                                                                    
oil prices, the  number could rise to 90  percent or higher.                                                                    
There was  another group including the  Canadian province of                                                                    
Alberta,  the  State  of  Wyoming,  and  Norway  that  found                                                                    
themselves in a less pressured  situation to the extent they                                                                    
had significant revenues  outside of the oil  sector and the                                                                    
commodity sector.  Typically, these  countries had  high tax                                                                    
rates  with income  taxes, corporate  taxes, and  additional                                                                    
revenues  to fall  back  on when  oil  and commodity  prices                                                                    
declined.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  continued that of  the Middle Eastern  group a                                                                    
number  of countries  that were  part of  the grey  grouping                                                                    
(Abu  Dhabi,  Qatar,  and  Kuwait) were  able  to  cope  and                                                                    
balance  their  budgets despite  their  high  levels of  oil                                                                    
dependence.   He  explained that  these countries  had moved                                                                    
toward the  full embrace of  the SWF model. They  were using                                                                    
their income  and the sustainable  amount of draw  that they                                                                    
could get from their SWF  assets to supplement the budget in                                                                    
times of low  oil prices. He relayed that  Abu Dhabi, Qatar,                                                                    
and Kuwait  could balance  their budget  without significant                                                                    
cuts to  spending levels -  oil prices being around  $45 per                                                                    
barrel  to $60  per  barrel.  The red  line  showed that  if                                                                    
Alaska  would similarly  follow the  trend towards  the full                                                                    
embrace  of  the  SWF  model  it would  move  to  a  similar                                                                    
position.  In  fact,  he claimed  that  in  all  probability                                                                    
Alaska would be able to balance  its budget at an even lower                                                                    
oil  price than  its Middle  Eastern counterparts.  He would                                                                    
provide additional info shortly.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:26:46 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  reviewed the  bar  graph  on slide  10:  "SWF                                                                    
assets  under  management."  He  explained  that  the  chart                                                                    
showed  the size  of assets  under management  in US  dollar                                                                    
billions for  a number  of SWF countries.  Clearly, Alaska's                                                                    
was relatively  small compared to other  countries. He noted                                                                    
that the chart showed Norway having $820 billion in assets.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  continued  to  slide   11:  "Size  of  assets                                                                    
relative to  budget." In terms of  Alaska's fiscal position,                                                                    
he  suggested scaling  Alaska's pool  of assets  relative to                                                                    
its budget.  The numbers at  the top of the  chart indicated                                                                    
the  number of  times the  budget  could be  covered if  the                                                                    
accumulated assets were  divided by the size  of the budget.                                                                    
According to  the matrix, Alaska was  the wealthiest country                                                                    
in terms  of its  assets; its assets  could cover  almost 11                                                                    
times  the budget.  Even some  of the  most established  SWF                                                                    
countries  were nowhere  near the  position that  Alaska was                                                                    
in. They were  somewhere over halfway as wealthy  if the SWF                                                                    
was scaled relative to the size of their budgets.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld scrolled  to slide  12: "Notional  sustainable                                                                    
draw as  a % of budget."  He posed the question  that if 4.5                                                                    
percent was  applied as  a sustainable  amount to  draw from                                                                    
the assets, how  big would the draw be relative  to the size                                                                    
of the budget. He reported  that the amount of a sustainable                                                                    
draw of 4.5  on assets would equal roughly  half of Alaska's                                                                    
budget.  For the  other countries  represented, the  numbers                                                                    
were under 30  percent. The chart illustrated  the extent of                                                                    
Alaska's wealth in terms of accumulated assets.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
9:28:50 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld turned  to slide  13:  "Alaskan strengths  and                                                                    
weaknesses."  He reviewed  Alaska's strength  and weaknesses                                                                    
relative  to other  countries that  were resource  dependent                                                                    
and had  SWFs. He considered  a number of  fiscal indicators                                                                    
including  the outlook  for  raising  non-oil revenues,  the                                                                    
production  outlook,  and   the  governance  and  management                                                                    
structures around  the actual assets.  In terms of  the size                                                                    
of savings  relative to the  budget and  government spending                                                                    
needs,  he opined  that Alaska's  position was  particularly                                                                    
strong. By  his calculations, Alaska's was  the strongest of                                                                    
all  resource  dependent  jurisdictions in  the  world.  His                                                                    
largest concern was the amount  of money available under the                                                                    
current system  as accessible buffers. He  understood Alaska                                                                    
had various funds that were  available to support the budget                                                                    
in tough times. However, the  amount of years of coverage of                                                                    
budget spending  currently accessible in the  structures was                                                                    
nowhere  near what  some  of the  Middle  Eastern funds  had                                                                    
provisioned. He noted that Abu  Dhabi and Qatar were able to                                                                    
draw on  assets to tide them  over for the following  5 or 6                                                                    
years and up to 10 years  if they were to make some spending                                                                    
cuts.  Alaska's  system did  not  have  the same  accessible                                                                    
buffers.  One  of  Alaska's big  weaknesses  was  its  large                                                                    
fiscal  dependence  on oil,  which  limited  its ability  to                                                                    
raise non-oil  revenues compared to other  areas. He pointed                                                                    
out the significant benefit of  Alaska having a savings rule                                                                    
in  its constitution.  He only  placed one  tick in  the box                                                                    
because  Alaska  did  not  have a  spending  rule  in  place                                                                    
appropriate  for government  spending  needs in  conjunction                                                                    
with a savings rule.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
9:31:31 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Neuman mentioned the state's  investment in a large                                                                    
diameter gas pipeline.  He asked Mr. Rietveld  to comment on                                                                    
whether  the project  was  a strength  or  weakness for  the                                                                    
state.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  responded that  further down  on the  slide he                                                                    
had the  potential for production  increases. He  noted that                                                                    
there  was  a great  deal  of  uncertainty around  how  many                                                                    
assets were  under the ground.  His assessment was  based on                                                                    
data used in  a model that was utilized to  consider the SWF                                                                    
plan numbers. The  baseline assumption on the  model was one                                                                    
of declining revenues.  It was possible that  there could be                                                                    
a significant  and highly beneficial increase  in production                                                                    
for  Alaska  in the  future.  He  would explain  what  would                                                                    
happen to the SWF model  if it occurred. He understood there                                                                    
was significant  potential for  increases in  production and                                                                    
resource revenues relative to the baseline assumption.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld continued  to elaborate  on slide  13. He  had                                                                    
placed  question marks  under the  short-term and  long-term                                                                    
potential for raising non-oil  revenues through taxation. He                                                                    
thought the  Alaskan economic base  was relatively  small to                                                                    
achieve massive gains  through taxation and it  was a policy                                                                    
issue for the  legislature to decide. It was  not obvious to                                                                    
him that there was significant  potential to offset the drop                                                                    
in commodity  revenues with other  forms of revenue.  He had                                                                    
three  thoughts about  the  current  management of  Alaska's                                                                    
assets.  There was  no doubt  that the  governance structure                                                                    
including  the institutional  rules,  the independence,  and                                                                    
the  competence of  the  Alaska  Permanent Fund  Corporation                                                                    
(APFC)  was of  the standard  worldwide. It  was an  example                                                                    
that  many countries  sought to  emulate. He  continued that                                                                    
the investment style  pursued by APFC, relative  to what was                                                                    
expected, was appropriate.  He added that under  a SWF model                                                                    
there would not  be a great need for  significant changes in                                                                    
the  portfolio   or  the  mandate   of  the  fund.   On  the                                                                    
operational side, he thought there  was scope for increasing                                                                    
the  internal  capacity of  APFC  with  the support  of  the                                                                    
legislature and  the public. Currently the  corporation made                                                                    
heavy  use  of  external  managers.  He  thought  there  was                                                                    
potential  to bring  some of  the  management in-house.  His                                                                    
final point was that there  could be significant benefits by                                                                    
bolstering the operational and internal capacity of APFC.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
9:36:24 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative   Guttenberg   asked   him   to   expand   on                                                                    
information regarding  the last  line on the  slide "Support                                                                    
for fund staffing needs."                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld responded  that he  checked the  "dislike" box                                                                    
twice because in comparison to  other funds, the managers of                                                                    
larger  funds  such  as  the  Norwegian  SWF  managed  by  a                                                                    
separate entity  had figured  out a way  to hire  and retain                                                                    
the best staff. Typically, in  the world of finance it could                                                                    
cost  a significant  amount of  money.  It had  historically                                                                    
been an  obstacle for  many SWF to  justify and  explain the                                                                    
staffing needs  of the management  institution. He  made the                                                                    
case  that the  state would  achieve savings  in the  end by                                                                    
allowing the APFC to fulfill its real staffing needs.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Representative   Guttenberg   thought   it   was   something                                                                    
significant to consider.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld had  spoken about  the SWF  model and  the two                                                                    
critical qualifiers  around the  model were  sustainable and                                                                    
rule-based. He  would speak about  the critical  elements of                                                                    
the rule-based sustainable SWF model.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Vice-Chair Saddler  had the  sense that the  SWF was  just a                                                                    
savings function.  He thought that  it set certain  types of                                                                    
funds apart  from the volatility dampening  or stabilization                                                                    
and the  investment income  model. He  thought he  was using                                                                    
SWF  to imply  the second  two.  He believed  that the  pure                                                                    
savings,  which might  still be  with  the Alaska  Permanent                                                                    
Fund, was  outside of the  definition of a  sovereign wealth                                                                    
fund. He asked Mr. Rietveld for his thoughts.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  agreed with his  argument. In  general, things                                                                    
like  investment  capacity  were  much  more  applicable  to                                                                    
savings  and  investment  income  funds  with  more  complex                                                                    
portfolios. The  investment process  and requirements  for a                                                                    
stabilization fund  were simpler. He made  his remarks about                                                                    
support for staffing needs in  relation to investment income                                                                    
funds  and savings  funds.  He  believed that  stabilization                                                                    
funds were different beasts in terms of staffing needs.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
9:40:14 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Vice-Chair Saddler clarified that  the first definition of a                                                                    
savings fund had implied no  spending mechanisms. He did not                                                                    
presume the legislature would be changing the PF.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  suggested  that the  Permanent  Fund  in  its                                                                    
current  form was  both  a savings  fund  and an  investment                                                                    
income fund  to the extent  that it funded the  PF dividend.                                                                    
In the  proposals being discussed, the  question was whether                                                                    
the PF moved  more in the direction of  an investment income                                                                    
fund moved  more in  the direction  of an  investment income                                                                    
fund  more than  currently. Vice  Chair Saddler  was correct                                                                    
that it was in between the two.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld continued  to Slide  15:  "What are  resource-                                                                    
based  SWFs  really  about?" He  invited  the  committee  to                                                                    
consider   the  most   important   functions  performed   by                                                                    
resource-based SWFs. He relayed  that Adam Smith, the father                                                                    
of economics,  described mining as the  most disadvantageous                                                                    
lottery in  the world.  He might as  well have  been talking                                                                    
about  commodities   in  general.  Uncertainty   had  always                                                                    
accompanied  commodity  wealth  and  commodity  income.  The                                                                    
first  function   of  resource-based  SWFs  was   savings  -                                                                    
transforming a  depleting asset and depleting  income stream                                                                    
from  finite natural  resources  into a  permanent one.  The                                                                    
savings  would  potentially  provide   a  stream  of  income                                                                    
completely separated  from the commodity  revenue. Sovereign                                                                    
wealth  funds   could  provide  macro-economic   and  fiscal                                                                    
stability. The idea was to  separate the budget process from                                                                    
the  fluctuation  of commodity  revenues  and  focus on  the                                                                    
accumulation  of those  commodity  revenues  in a  financial                                                                    
portfolio  applying standard  financial approaches  based on                                                                    
the size  of the portfolio.  It was important to  answer the                                                                    
question as  to the  sustainable amount  of the  assets that                                                                    
could be spent by the state without depleting the corpus.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  discussed that  the second  function of  a SWF                                                                    
was  that the  state  could completely  decouple the  budget                                                                    
process  from  the  underlying  commodity  revenues.  Alaska                                                                    
would be  able to move  away from a "boom-bust"  cycle where                                                                    
spending tracked  commodity prices and revenues,  and fiscal                                                                    
policy destabilized  the state's economy.  The use of  a SWF                                                                    
was  not  magically  making volatility  disappear  form  the                                                                    
system. Instead, volatility  was being held in  a place that                                                                    
proponents of the SWF model  felt that was more appropriate.                                                                    
Currently, with the absence of  the SWF model the volatility                                                                    
resided  on the  revenue and  spending side  of the  state's                                                                    
fiscal affairs.  Whereas, in the  SWF model,  the volatility                                                                    
was transferred to  the fund's level while  spending and the                                                                    
sustainable draw  from the SWF was  considerably more stable                                                                    
and potentially  very stable. The  third purpose was  a more                                                                    
negative function. In the history  of boom-bust economics of                                                                    
resource-based  economies,  there  was a  tendency  in  boom                                                                    
periods to  overspend, make wasteful investments  and deploy                                                                    
boom-time  commodity windfalls  in economically  inefficient                                                                    
sectors and  putting them to economically  inefficient uses.                                                                    
All   economies   were   subject  to   absorptive   capacity                                                                    
constraints.  In  other words,  there  was  a defined  labor                                                                    
pool, a limited  number of ports for  importing capital into                                                                    
the state, and a limit to  how much windfall the state could                                                                    
absorb sensibly and efficiently.  He suggested that in using                                                                    
the SWF model the windfall would  go into the SWF, the level                                                                    
of  the fund  would rise,  and the  windfall would  be spent                                                                    
over  a longer  period,  ameliorating some  of the  capacity                                                                    
constraint.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
9:45:05 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Wilson  remarked  that the  PF  was  already                                                                    
essentially,  what  Mr.  Rietveld  was saying  it  was.  The                                                                    
difference  was  the  state  had chosen  not  to  spend  its                                                                    
reserves.  She  thought  the  reason  the  topic  was  being                                                                    
discussed  was  that  the legislature  was  contemplating  a                                                                    
change in  how the state  provided a dividend to  the people                                                                    
of  Alaska. She  believed the  state already  had a  fund in                                                                    
place and wondered what she was missing.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld thought  what was being discussed  was a fully-                                                                    
fledged embrace of the SWF  model than what was currently in                                                                    
place.  First,  the model  dictated  the  greatest share  of                                                                    
revenues   going   into   the  fund.   Currently,   it   was                                                                    
constitutionally mandated that 25  percent of royalties went                                                                    
into the fund and had  historically been 30 percent. Under a                                                                    
SWF model,  a greater  share of revenues  would go  into the                                                                    
fund  rather than  the direct  budgeting process.  Second, a                                                                    
greater share of sustainable draw  or investment income from                                                                    
the fund would  be available for spending.  The proposal was                                                                    
to change the magnitude of  resource revenue and income that                                                                    
came out of  the system. It operated in a  similar way but a                                                                    
greater share of  revenue would go into the PF  and a larger                                                                    
sustainable draw would come out of the fund.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative Thompson remarked that  there would be a more                                                                    
detailed discussion on the topic in the following week.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Wilson wanted  to understand  the difference                                                                    
between what Alaska already had  in place and what was being                                                                    
proposed using the SWF model.  It seemed to her that whether                                                                    
the state  used the  current model or  the one  Mr. Rietveld                                                                    
was proposing  the state would  end up with the  same amount                                                                    
of  revenue.  She wanted  to  understand  the changes  being                                                                    
suggested.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Gara recapped  the  difference between  what                                                                    
the  state  was  currently  doing  and  what  Representative                                                                    
Wilson  proposed.  In addition  to  revenue  used for  state                                                                    
spending,  a certain  amount would  be dedicated  to a  fund                                                                    
that would  generate additional revenue. It  would become an                                                                    
endowment  fund. In  other words,  revenue would  be divided                                                                    
into two pools:  one pool would go directly  into the budget                                                                    
and another would  go into a fund  that generated investment                                                                    
revenue. The sovereign  wealth fund proposal was  to shift a                                                                    
significant  amount  into  a   SWF  to  generate  investment                                                                    
revenues that  would be used  to supplement  annual revenue.                                                                    
He asked if he was correct.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld responded  in  the  affirmative. He  clarified                                                                    
that the  SWF model was  not his  proposal; he was  a strong                                                                    
proponent.    He    acknowledged    Representative    Gara's                                                                    
description  was  correct.  The  most  important  additional                                                                    
benefit the state would receive  from transferring a greater                                                                    
share  of revenues  into the  fund  and a  greater share  of                                                                    
investment  income  out  of  the   fund  was  stability  and                                                                    
breaking the cycle  of spending. The sustainable  draw was a                                                                    
stable concept.  Whereas, spending 70 percent  to 75 percent                                                                    
of  oil  revenues  (practiced  historically)  it  created  a                                                                    
significant   volatility    in   spending.    The   critical                                                                    
distinction  of what  was being  proposed was  that the  SWF                                                                    
model  would change  the magnitude  of investment  income to                                                                    
fund  government  and  would transfer  volatility  from  the                                                                    
budget process to the SWF structure.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
9:50:41 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  moved to  slide  16:  "Oil to  equities."  He                                                                    
offered that another  way of thinking about  the SWF concept                                                                    
was what  the Norwegians  had described as  transforming oil                                                                    
to equities.  He noted that  financial assets  and financial                                                                    
portfolios were subject to risk  and volatility. However, in                                                                    
looking  at historical  data and  patterns financial  assets                                                                    
had higher returns and lower  levels of volatility than oil.                                                                    
Therefore, it could be argued,  from a financial standpoint,                                                                    
that  it was  advantageous to  transform subsoil  assets and                                                                    
revenues derived from subsoil assets into financial ones.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld explained  slide 17:  "Oil  to equities:  what                                                                    
would  you  rather hold?"  He  pointed  out that  the  chart                                                                    
reflected a period from 1928 to  2010. The dark blue line at                                                                    
the top  represented the growth  of the value of  stocks. He                                                                    
noted that the  vertical axis went from 10 to  100 to 1,000.                                                                    
He concluded  that stocks had generated  considerably higher                                                                    
returns historically than oil  represented by the light blue                                                                    
line and bonds [in yellow]  and money markets [in green]. He                                                                    
highlighted the  volatility of  the oil  line on  the chart.                                                                    
Essentially,  oil  returns were  very  similar  to bond  and                                                                    
money market returns  but at a much greater  volatility if a                                                                    
state was holding all of its wealth in the form of oil.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  scrolled to slide  18: "Oil to  equities: what                                                                    
would you rather hold?" He  relayed that the Norwegians used                                                                    
a measure  referred to  as "Value at  Risk" to  quantify the                                                                    
risk to the  value of their petroleum under  the ground. The                                                                    
higher the bar on the chart,  the more the value was at risk                                                                    
of the  asset under  the ground. Although  they had  an $850                                                                    
billion  financial endowment,  the assets  were considerably                                                                    
less at  risk than if  it was held in  oil and less  at risk                                                                    
than  the petroleum  that  they held  under  the ground.  At                                                                    
every opportunity,  the Norwegians  tried to  transfer their                                                                    
oil  wealth  and  oil  income   into  financial  wealth  and                                                                    
financial income.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  turned to Slide  19: "Key elements of  a rule-                                                                    
based  SWF  model."  He emphasized  the  importance  of  the                                                                    
process operated by  way of rules - both a  savings rule and                                                                    
a  spending  rule. He  elaborated  that  in the  absence  of                                                                    
rules, even with  the best intentions, the  tendency was for                                                                    
those  intentions  to  break  down in  tough  times  and  to                                                                    
abandon  an implicit  rule. He  thought a  savings rule  was                                                                    
worthy   to  deliberate.   He  suggested   considering  what                                                                    
percentage of revenue to transfer  to the SWF. If there were                                                                    
different  sub funds  such as  a stabilization  fund and  an                                                                    
income fund, it would be  important to think about the rules                                                                    
that  govern  the  flows  between the  funds.  In  terms  of                                                                    
spending, it  depended on the fund's  purpose. For instance,                                                                    
the fund could  be in place to  provide short-term stability                                                                    
to  the budget  or,  it could  be in  place  to replace  the                                                                    
source of funding for  government through investment income.                                                                    
He  restated  the importance  of  considering  rules on  the                                                                    
savings side,  which he thought  were largely in  place with                                                                    
Alaska's  constitutional protection  of a  minimum. However,                                                                    
he  recommended that  the proposed  changes to  the spending                                                                    
rules  needed  to  be  properly  vetted  ensuring  that  the                                                                    
mechanisms were rule-based.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
9:54:37 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld discussed  Slide  20: "Why  have  a rule?"  He                                                                    
relayed his  thoughts on the  benefits of having a  rule. He                                                                    
surmised that like all rules,  the idea was to constrain the                                                                    
discretion of  policy makers, legislators,  and governments.                                                                    
He suggested  that memories tended  to be short in  oil rich                                                                    
jurisdictions  that  were  subject to  historical  boom-bust                                                                    
periods. He added that because  of the fiscal pain commodity                                                                    
producers were  currently experiencing, the tendency  was to                                                                    
do  catch-up spending  once prices  recovered. If  countries                                                                    
were  able to  save some  of the  "boom," it  would be  much                                                                    
easier  to  manage  any downfalls.  Alaska  had  accumulated                                                                    
assets  because  of  the prudence  of  legislation  and  the                                                                    
prudence   of  previous   legislatures   that  insured   the                                                                    
occurrence of  inflation proofing and sticking  to the rules                                                                    
in place.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  spoke of the  limitations of human  ability to                                                                    
forecast oil  prices and  revenues. Academic  studies showed                                                                    
that it was  impossible to forecast them  accurately. In the                                                                    
absence   of  a   rule,  forming   a  budget   was  entirely                                                                    
unpredictable. In  contrast, a  rule would  prevent spending                                                                    
if  oil  prices  were  higher   than  expected.  The  excess                                                                    
revenues  would go  into  the  SWF. Once  the  value of  the                                                                    
assets increased, the state could  adjust the rule through a                                                                    
periodic  review and  adjust the  sustainable  draw. It  was                                                                    
unreasonable to  think the  state could  accurately forecast                                                                    
oil prices and form a stable and sustainable budget on it.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  emphasized  the  importance  of  rules  being                                                                    
symmetric  or  counter-cyclical.  In  other  words,  it  was                                                                    
important  that the  rules applied  to both  commodity booms                                                                    
and  busts. Otherwise,  there was  a tendency  to save  in a                                                                    
boom period and to act freely  in a bust period. It was very                                                                    
important  that the  rules were  binding for  boom and  bust                                                                    
periods.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Another attractive  feature of  having a  rule in  place and                                                                    
being able  to communicate the rule  clearly was expectation                                                                    
management  for  medium  to   long-term  fiscal  policy.  He                                                                    
thought  it  applied  to ratings  agencies,  businesses  and                                                                    
investors, and  the public.  Ratings agencies  that assessed                                                                    
the credit  worthiness of Alaska  would take comfort  from a                                                                    
long-term plan  embedded with a  set of  rules. Historically                                                                    
assessors of  credit worthiness looked favorably  on a rule-                                                                    
based  system.   It  was  also   important  to   manage  the                                                                    
expectations of  businesses. It  was his  understanding that                                                                    
businesses in  Alaska were asking  for a plan  that provided                                                                    
fiscal  stability  before  deciding  to  increase  long-term                                                                    
investment in  the state. He  suggested that having  a rule-                                                                    
based  system in  place and  being able  to communicate  the                                                                    
long-term plan  would be useful in  managing expectations of                                                                    
businesses and investors. He asserted  that the public would                                                                    
also benefit  in their own financial  planning, savings, and                                                                    
through their  most important  assets, typically  their home                                                                    
values.  There  was  a historical  correlation  between  oil                                                                    
prices, oil  revenues, government spending, and  home values                                                                    
in  Alaska.  He  concluded  that a  rule-based  system  that                                                                    
embedded stability  would help households and  the public to                                                                    
manage their own fiscal affairs.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
9:58:48 AM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Edgmon   asked  him   to  explain   why  the                                                                    
legislature  should  enact the  model  as  soon as  possible                                                                    
rather than waiting.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Representative Thompson added, "The urgency why."                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld   responded  that  he  looked   at  the  money                                                                    
available under  the current system  to plug  the short-term                                                                    
deficit. He  saw that there  was coverage available  for two                                                                    
or three years. He believed  Alaska had the tools and assets                                                                    
at  the  legislature's disposal  to  fund  the deficit  more                                                                    
sustainably. In answer  to Representative Edgmon's question,                                                                    
the  state  would  draw  down   on  the  limited  buffer  of                                                                    
available  funds.  The  risk was  that  if  the  legislature                                                                    
kicked the can down the road  the system would be at greater                                                                    
risk and the SWF model  would require roughly four times the                                                                    
annual budget-spending  amount in a cash  reserve structure.                                                                    
The state  would have to  replenish the  fund if it  were to                                                                    
run  down further  in the  current  year. There  would be  a                                                                    
concern  around   the  willingness  of  policy   makers  and                                                                    
legislators to deplete reserve buffers  further at a time of                                                                    
pressing fiscal issues.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Edgmon  would   follow  up  with  additional                                                                    
questions later.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Gattis  was   thinking  about  the  spending                                                                    
aspect.  She  remarked  that   the  state  had  historically                                                                    
brought  programs  back  during boom  periods.  She  thought                                                                    
there was merit to having  a budget, like having a household                                                                    
budget. She believed  a person had to save for  a rainy day.                                                                    
She liked the  aspect of limiting state  spending when there                                                                    
was money and saving it for a rainy day.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
10:02:18 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld   surmised  the  state  was   calculating  its                                                                    
financial wealth and changing the  mindset of the people who                                                                    
formulated  and  approved  the  budget to  a  concept  of  a                                                                    
sustainable  annuity  like  a  household  that  lived  on  a                                                                    
financial endowment.  A person  thought about  a sustainable                                                                    
level  of spending  given their  financial wealth.  They did                                                                    
not deviate  from their budget;  they knew their  budget and                                                                    
planned accordingly.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld detailed  Slide  22:  "Existing approaches  to                                                                    
rules."  He cited  that there  were three  types of  savings                                                                    
rules.  The first  rule was  to save  a fixed  percentage of                                                                    
either    some   or    all   commodity    revenues.   Alaska                                                                    
constitutionally   mandated   depositing   25   percent   of                                                                    
royalties   into   savings;   however,  in   practice,   the                                                                    
percentage had been  30 percent. Another rule was  to have a                                                                    
moving  average of  either revenues  or prices.  If, in  any                                                                    
fiscal year, the  state exceed the moving  average, it would                                                                    
be required to place the  exceeded portion into savings. The                                                                    
third savings rule was to have  a reference price of $75 per                                                                    
barrel  of oil.  If  prices  were $90  per  barrel then  the                                                                    
percentage  difference  would  be calculated  and  put  into                                                                    
savings.  They were  simple rule-of-thumb  savings measures.                                                                    
He qualified  that it was  better to have the  three savings                                                                    
rules than  to not have  any. There were  potential problems                                                                    
with only  having the  three rules  in place.  He elaborated                                                                    
that  there  was a  pro-cyclicality  of  a fixed  percentage                                                                    
savings if a  stabilizing spending rule was not  in place to                                                                    
offset  it. It  meant that  even in  the toughest  times the                                                                    
fixed  percentage would  need to  be  transferred the  fixed                                                                    
percentage to the  savings pool. Some people  might say that                                                                    
it made more sense  to save in grim times and  find a way to                                                                    
reduce savings in tough times.  The problem with a reference                                                                    
price was  determining who set  the reference price  and the                                                                    
appropriateness of the  price. A few years  prior $100 price                                                                    
might have seemed appropriate. Presently,  it did not appear                                                                    
that oil  prices would  return to $100  per barrel  any time                                                                    
soon.  He  suggested  that  from  a  governance  and  policy                                                                    
perspective  it  was  very  difficult   to  know  who  would                                                                    
determine  the reference  price. The  rule-of-thumb measures                                                                    
on  their  own  were  good rules  for  accumulating  assets.                                                                    
However, they were not particularly  useful in combining the                                                                    
spending and  savings decisions into one  unified framework,                                                                    
especially one that provided stability to spending.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
10:05:42 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld continued  to  Slide 23:  "A  fiscal rule  for                                                                    
resource-based  SWFs."  He  advised making  some  conceptual                                                                    
departures  when considering  a  complete rule-based  fiscal                                                                    
framework  that  had  both  spending  a  savings  rules.  He                                                                    
encouraged members to move away  from thinking of the budget                                                                    
first then savings  as an afterthought. In the  SWF model, a                                                                    
much greater  share of  assets flowed first  to the  SWF and                                                                    
then out of the SWF in  the form of a sustainable investment                                                                    
income. Changing  the piping  was essential.  He highlighted                                                                    
that the first place of  resource revenue went into the SWF.                                                                    
By doing  so, the fund and  the level of assets  held in the                                                                    
fund was the place in the  fiscal system where the burden of                                                                    
adjustment  to  volatility took  place  rather  than in  the                                                                    
budget itself.  The concept applied  as much to booms  as it                                                                    
did  to busts.  In boom  periods, the  burden of  adjustment                                                                    
would happen  in the SWF.  The Sovereign Wealth  Funds would                                                                    
rise  rather  than spending.  In  bust  periods, SWF  assets                                                                    
might  decline rather  than spending.  The Sovereign  Wealth                                                                    
Fund became the volatile element.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  explained that by  adopting the SWF  model the                                                                    
state  would   achieve  the  goal  of   decoupling  spending                                                                    
decisions  and  the  budget   process  from  the  underlying                                                                    
volatility  of commodity  revenue. The  concept was  that by                                                                    
transforming oil wealth into  financial wealth and assessing                                                                    
a  sustainable draw  on that  financial  wealth, the  amount                                                                    
would  become  the  achievable  and  sustainable  amount  of                                                                    
spending. It  would be completely  uncorrelated to  what was                                                                    
actually happening  with oil prices  and oil  commodities in                                                                    
the previous  or current year.  His final point was  that if                                                                    
production   increased  significantly   in  the   state  and                                                                    
commodity revenues  exceeded current  baseline expectations,                                                                    
the  spending increase  would spread  out over  a number  of                                                                    
years  because of  a higher  level  of the  SWF and  through                                                                    
periodic  reassessments of  the  sustainable  draw size.  He                                                                    
added  that it  was equally  important to  remember that  if                                                                    
revenue decreased an adjustment to  the draw size would take                                                                    
place. Spending  would also have  to adjust down  over time.                                                                    
The burden  would be spread  over time through the  level of                                                                    
the SWFs.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Thompson  made the  comment that  the price  of oil                                                                    
was frequently talked  about but he thought  Alaska also had                                                                    
to be  cognitive of declining  production. The price  of oil                                                                    
could  sharply increase,  but less  production would  affect                                                                    
the state.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
10:09:28 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Representative Wilson  asked about  a spending  level amount                                                                    
provided  at the  end of  December  each year.  She used  $3                                                                    
billion as an example asking  if the legislature's job would                                                                    
remain  to  decide  how  to  spend  those  funds.  The  only                                                                    
adjustment  the  state  would have  if  the  spending  level                                                                    
amount decreased would  be to pass taxes that  would go back                                                                    
into the SWF with the  hope of the spending level increasing                                                                    
the following year.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld   answered  that  Representative   Wilson  had                                                                    
provided an  accurate description  of what would  happen. He                                                                    
added that  a prudent  and popular approach  worldwide would                                                                    
not be  to make the  assessment annually, but  perhaps every                                                                    
four years. The review  would check the essential components                                                                    
of the  model and the  assumptions guiding it were  still in                                                                    
place. He thought  four years was too long and  one year was                                                                    
too  short.   Another  suggestion   was  to   make  periodic                                                                    
assessments in conjunction with  the periodic assessments of                                                                    
the Permanent  Fund. The  Alaska Permanent  Fund Corporation                                                                    
could  make  the assessment  at  the  same time  or  shortly                                                                    
before  reviewing the  central elements  of the  fiscal rule                                                                    
and fiscal  framework in  order to get  APFC's input  and an                                                                    
explanation for  why it believed  the assumed  target return                                                                    
was still achievable.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Thompson assumed  that  with a  certain amount  of                                                                    
earnings there  would be  a set draw  amount each  year. The                                                                    
state  would  have  four  times the  amount  set  aside  and                                                                    
conduct a review every two or four years.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld responded in the positive.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
10:12:51 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Representative Wilson  mentioned having savings  in addition                                                                    
to revenues. She wondered if  the money to appropriate would                                                                    
be  a  calculation.  There  would be  a  limited  amount  to                                                                    
allocate  because  there was  no  other  source to  tap  for                                                                    
funding.  In other  words, everything  would go  through the                                                                    
SWF. She asked if that was how the plan worked.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  indicated   that  Representative  Wilson  was                                                                    
correct.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
Vice-Chair  Saddler mentioned  that  some  people wanted  to                                                                    
close the barn door when the  horse was gone saying that the                                                                    
state  should have  a spending  cap or  hard other  rule. He                                                                    
wondered if  the SWF had  a mechanism to manage  an increase                                                                    
annually or to have a hard spending cap or any other rules.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  responded that  there  were  other rules  and                                                                    
spending caps that  could be applied in  varying degrees. He                                                                    
thought for  a commodity dependent jurisdiction  the SWF was                                                                    
a tried  and tested  model. Legislation could  be introduced                                                                    
to put  a budget cap  on the fund.  He believed that  in the                                                                    
SWF model the number was based  on an assessment of what was                                                                    
sustainable investment income.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Vice-Chair  Saddler  commented  that   a  global  change  in                                                                    
economic conditions  that proved  4.5 percent was  no longer                                                                    
sustainable  could trigger  the  necessity  to reassess  the                                                                    
model or change the rule.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Thompson remarked  that the  state would  still be                                                                    
able  to make  up  the differences  through  taxes or  other                                                                    
means.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Representative Kawasaki  asked about  a separate  account in                                                                    
which funds could be deposited  prior to being appropriated.                                                                    
He  noted  having to  have  four  times  the amount  in  the                                                                    
earnings reserve to make a SWF plan work.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair  Thompson   remarked  that   the  topic   would  be                                                                    
discussed in the future.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
10:16:15 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Neuman  opined that the  biggest impediment  to Mr.                                                                    
Rietveld's  SWF model  was politics.  He  remarked that  the                                                                    
stock  market  was  declining  and that  there  could  be  a                                                                    
drawdown  of  the reserves.  He  understood  that the  model                                                                    
required approximately four years  of reserves for potential                                                                    
downturns  in the  economy. He  estimated the  amount to  be                                                                    
about $13  billion. He thought  the problem would be  in the                                                                    
stresses  in government.  The public  had certain  wants and                                                                    
needs, which  he attributed  to the  growth in  spending. He                                                                    
wondered if  the state was  better off keeping  politics out                                                                    
of  the mix  and  staying away  from using  the  PF to  fund                                                                    
government. He  argued that the  PF should focus  on funding                                                                    
the endowment fund. He asked if he was accurate.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  agreed that  if  the  state adopted  the  SWF                                                                    
framework it would be important  to make sure APFC continued                                                                    
to  make  investment  decisions based  purely  on  financial                                                                    
objectives.  It  would  have a  clearly  articulated  return                                                                    
target visible  to the public  and to legislators.  It would                                                                    
be  critical for  the PF  team to  be left  alone to  pursue                                                                    
prudent investment decisions to achieve the target.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Neuman  was concerned with keeping  politics out of                                                                    
the  scenario.  He  mentioned   that  currently  there  were                                                                    
members of the governor's cabinet  that sat on the PF board.                                                                    
He asked  Mr. Rietveld if  he thought  it was better  not to                                                                    
have any person  from a government agency sitting  on the PF                                                                    
board to avoid political influence.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld did  not see  a categorical  problem with  the                                                                    
composition of  the APFC board.  It seemed to be  in keeping                                                                    
with what  the best SWFs  did worldwide  to have a  range of                                                                    
people represented on the board.  He mentioned that APFC had                                                                    
extremely high  levels of transparency in  place under which                                                                    
they  operated. The  corporation  also  operated under  high                                                                    
levels of accountability, which  he thought, offset the risk                                                                    
of undue political  intervention. He did not  have a problem                                                                    
with the  make-up and  added that it  was well  governed and                                                                    
well managed.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair Neuman  asked about reducing the  risk of political                                                                    
interference.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld answered that he  was unable to provide a "yes"                                                                    
or "no" answer to his question. He stated, "It works."                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
10:20:52 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Vice-Chair  Saddler asked  if  it  was usual  for  a SWF  to                                                                    
transform itself  from one model  to another such as  from a                                                                    
stabilization model to  a pure savings or  to an investment.                                                                    
He thought  it was  asking a  lot to  put away  money rather                                                                    
than responding to  legitimate needs of people  to spend it.                                                                    
He  wondered how  often people  could be  asked to  change a                                                                    
model.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld stated  that there was not a  SWF in existence,                                                                    
around more than five years,  that had not changed. The most                                                                    
obvious  change for  funds was  to transition  from being  a                                                                    
pure savings  fund to  being an  investment income  fund. It                                                                    
was  a very  prevalent  and widespread  pattern. There  were                                                                    
also changes  in the balance between  stabilization purposes                                                                    
and income purposes. He indicated changes were very common.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Guttenberg stated  that  the  state had  two                                                                    
major assets:  money in the bank  and oil in the  ground. He                                                                    
remarked  that the  SWF liked  the SWF.  He thought  the two                                                                    
assets should  flow into the  SWF rather than  other revenue                                                                    
sources  such as  gasoline, alcohol,  and tobacco  taxes. He                                                                    
asked if using the other sources  of revenue was part of the                                                                    
model.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  responded  that   both  things  happened.  He                                                                    
clarified  that some  countries  and  jurisdictions ran  all                                                                    
revenues  through  the SWF.  The  most  important thing  the                                                                    
legislature could  do conceptually  was to put  the volatile                                                                    
revenues  into  the SWF.  If  there  were other  sources  of                                                                    
revenue that  were more stable,  more predictable,  and more                                                                    
sustainable, he did not necessarily  see why they would have                                                                    
to run  through the  fund. The most  important thing  was to                                                                    
put the  volatile and  potentially declining  revenue source                                                                    
into the SWF.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
10:24:02 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Pruitt asked  about the  timing of  changing                                                                    
from a savings  to an income fund. He suggested  that if the                                                                    
state had  changed the model  in the last downturn  when the                                                                    
PF was  about $28 billion,  it would  not have grown  to its                                                                    
current amount.  He wondered  if the  state was  deciding to                                                                    
switch the  model and limiting  the eventual  opportunity to                                                                    
grow  the  fund even  more  than  48 percent  of  government                                                                    
spending.  He  asked about  the  timing  of the  change.  He                                                                    
thought  it was  an  important part  of  the discussion.  He                                                                    
asked if the state was knee jerking to a crisis.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  thought the  assessment  was  based on  there                                                                    
being a current crisis due to  oil prices. He noted that the                                                                    
SWF was  one way to address  the fiscal issues in  a prudent                                                                    
manner. He did not see  a downside to implementing the model                                                                    
because if  oil revenues  did recover, revenues  would still                                                                    
flow  into   the  SWF  and  allow   for  greater  government                                                                    
spending. It would be spread  over several decades. The fund                                                                    
would   appreciate   through    additional   oil   revenues.                                                                    
Government revenue  would respond but the  response would be                                                                    
spread out  over several years, decades  or potentially into                                                                    
perpetuity. He  thought it  was an  opportune time  to apply                                                                    
the model especially since the  state had accumulated a nice                                                                    
pool of assets.  The state was in a position  to implement a                                                                    
policy where it could make use of a sustainable draw.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Representative Gattis asked if the  state was putting all of                                                                    
its eggs  in one  basket, the stock  market basket.  She was                                                                    
concerned with the market crashing.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  suggested  she was  right  that  the  state's                                                                    
portfolio would  be subject  to volatility.  His observation                                                                    
was that  the PFs  asset allocation was  highly diversified.                                                                    
The goal  was to achieve diversification  benefits including                                                                    
assets that  were uncorrelated. It  was not to say  that all                                                                    
volatility  would be  eliminated. However,  he believed  (as                                                                    
indicated  in the  slides  pertaining  to Norway)  financial                                                                    
assets had  historically provided  a better return  at lower                                                                    
risk than oil.  He concluded that the state  would be moving                                                                    
eggs  from one  basket  to  a bigger  basket  that was  less                                                                    
fragile based  on historic data.  His second point  was that                                                                    
the state had  to deal with the fact that  it had its wealth                                                                    
in  oil  and financial  wealth.  He  believed oil  was  more                                                                    
volatile than  financial assets. However, the  state did not                                                                    
have personal  income taxes, unlike  Norway with  a personal                                                                    
income tax  of 55 percent.  He opined that the  baseline for                                                                    
Alaska would be  to transform as much oil  wealth and income                                                                    
into financial wealth and income.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
10:28:59 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  skipped to slide  27: "Saudi  Arabian report."                                                                    
He noted  the work he  had done on  Saudi Arabia. It  was an                                                                    
illustrative case  of what  could happen  in the  absence of                                                                    
rule-based policies.  Saudi Arabia  was the  world's largest                                                                    
oil  producer, which  was  potentially  being challenged  by                                                                    
Russia and the United States  presently. It had the cheapest                                                                    
oil and  a century or  more of  subsoil oil revenues  at the                                                                    
lowest  extraction price.  Prior to  the oil  price collapse                                                                    
Saudi Arabia  had about $850 billion  in accumulated assets.                                                                    
It  seemed that  not much  could go  wrong for  Saudi Arabia                                                                    
from  a fiscal  perspective. However,  the absence  of rules                                                                    
caused a significant amount of ruin.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  turned to Slide 28:  "Saudi Arabia's problems:                                                                    
lessons  for  Alaska?:  Estimated   Oil  Price  Required  to                                                                    
Balance 2015 Budget." He reported  that already Saudi Arabia                                                                    
needed  a  very high  oil  price,  despite its  massive  oil                                                                    
production, to  balance its budget.  It needed an  oil price                                                                    
in  excess  of  $100  per  barrel  based  on  recent  years'                                                                    
spending. There was not a significant amount of give.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld   advanced  to   slide  29:   "Saudi  Arabia's                                                                    
Problems:  lessons  for   Alaska?  Projected  Breakeven  Oil                                                                    
Price."  He  commented  that  the  projection  was  for  the                                                                    
breakeven oil  price to continue rising  significantly drive                                                                    
by  demographic  pressures. The  country  had  a very  young                                                                    
population  and  it  made  significant  social  welfare  and                                                                    
subsidy payouts.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
10:30:39 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  turned to slide 30:  "Saudi Arabia's problems:                                                                    
lessons   for  Alaska?   Budgeted   and  Actual   Government                                                                    
Spending."  He reported  that  a very  common  problem in  a                                                                    
resource-based economy  was that  spending just  adjusted to                                                                    
the increase in  oil revenues as it did in  Saudi Arabia. He                                                                    
pointed out  that the green  lines represented  the budgeted                                                                    
spending. Saudi Arabia consistently  overspent the budget by                                                                    
15 percent  to 20 percent  annually which  was a way  of not                                                                    
saving as much as should have been saved.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld   continued  to  Slide  31:   "Saudi  Arabia's                                                                    
problems:  lessons for  Alaska?:  Oil-Driven Cyclicality  in                                                                    
Capital  Spending." He  relayed that  a familiar  pattern to                                                                    
people in  Alaska was the  historic correlation  between oil                                                                    
prices (represented in blue) and  capital spending (shown in                                                                    
green).  The  boom-bust  cycles  in  capital  spending  were                                                                    
devastating  given that  Saudi Arabia  had not  sufficiently                                                                    
decoupled the budget process from oil price volatility.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld discussed the  policy recommendations for Saudi                                                                    
Arabia listed  on slide 32.  First, he  recommended adopting                                                                    
explicit  spending and  savings  rules. It  had happened  to                                                                    
some extent but  in an ad-hoc fashion. Because  of their ad-                                                                    
hoc mechanism, they had drawn down  on assets to the tune of                                                                    
$200 billion since the oil  price collapse. In some calendar                                                                    
months,  approximately  $37  billion   to  $40  billion  was                                                                    
withdrawn.  He  had  tried  to  calculate  what  would  have                                                                    
happened  if Saudi  Arabia  had  implemented the  rule-based                                                                    
framework that he  proposed in the Harvard paper  in 2004 or                                                                    
2004. He showed that the  country under-saved in the absence                                                                    
of  a saving  rule even  though they  went to  $850 billion.                                                                    
Calculations  indicated they  should have  been at  least at                                                                    
$1.4 trillion,  which would have  put them in a  much better                                                                    
position. Delays were costly and  had been for Saudi Arabia.                                                                    
He also  thought delaying reforms  in the same  direction in                                                                    
other jurisdictions would also be costly.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld   also  proposed   a  clearer   separation  of                                                                    
stabilization  funds and  investment  income  funds. He  had                                                                    
given names to the funds  and placed some numbers around the                                                                    
existing  asset  pools.  He   also  suggested  a  governance                                                                    
structure  for the  investment management  and oversight  of                                                                    
the investment management  function. It was made  to fit the                                                                    
Saudi political realities. In general,  though he would have                                                                    
moved it  towards what  Alaska had in  place already  in the                                                                    
form of the APFC.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  relayed  that  he  had  a  couple  of  slides                                                                    
regarding Saudi oil policies but  because they were slightly                                                                    
off topic,  concluded with three  points. First,  Alaska was                                                                    
by no  means alone  in terms of  adjusting to  a potentially                                                                    
protracted era of  lower commodity prices and  the role that                                                                    
its accumulated  financial assets  could play.  He continued                                                                    
that the  magnitude of savings  made Alaska  exceptional. It                                                                    
was  a distinct  positive  for Alaska  in  dealing with  its                                                                    
fiscal issues.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  relayed that  at the heart  and spirit  of the                                                                    
governor's  proposed plan  there were  two important  points                                                                    
included.  The  first point  was  that  it was  critical  to                                                                    
manage volatility better by  decoupling budget spending from                                                                    
the  underlying commodity  cycle and  placing volatility  in                                                                    
the  SWF. The  second  point  was that  it  was critical  to                                                                    
facilitate  the  transition  of  government  funding  itself                                                                    
through   investment  income   derived   from  a   financial                                                                    
portfolio infused with oil revenues.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
10:35:07 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Representative   Edgmon   thought  more   stability   within                                                                    
Alaska's economy  would provide the opportunity  to create a                                                                    
better business  climate and to  diversify the  economy down                                                                    
the road.  Given the  recent newness of  SWFs, he  asked Mr.                                                                    
Rietveld  to   point  to   particular  countries   that  had                                                                    
accomplished something similar.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Mr. Rietveld  responded that boom-bust cycles  and commodity                                                                    
dependence was a great hindrance  to long-term investment in                                                                    
any country or  any state. To the extent  that the hindrance                                                                    
could  be   removed  would  be   positive  to   the  overall                                                                    
investment and  business climates.  He added that  there was                                                                    
literature  on   the  resource  curse  that   spoke  to  the                                                                    
particular ailment referred to as  the "Dutch Disease." In a                                                                    
commodity   boom   there   were  certain   sectors   booming                                                                    
disproportionately  to  the  rest of  the  economy.  Capital                                                                    
flooded   into  certain   sectors   such   as  housing   and                                                                    
construction rather than  being efficiently allocated across                                                                    
a broad  spectrum of  the economy.  Countries that  had used                                                                    
the   SWF   model   included   Norway.   Norway   discovered                                                                    
significant oil reserves  in the 1970s and had  been able to                                                                    
maintain a diversified economy because  of the SWF model and                                                                    
not becoming fixated on the  commodity cycle. He thought the                                                                    
same  applied  to  Australia and  to  some  extent  Alberta,                                                                    
Canada.  There  was  a  tried and  tested  track  record  of                                                                    
jurisdictions able to diversify  their economies - they were                                                                    
jurisdictions that  had been able to  remove themselves from                                                                    
being  beholden   to  the  commodity  cycle   and  commodity                                                                    
revenues.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
10:37:22 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
Representative Pruitt commented that  the discussion was not                                                                    
about  stabilizing   Alaska's  economy,  but   rather  about                                                                    
stabilizing  government  expenditures  into the  future.  He                                                                    
asked if a  key part was missing in  the overall discussion.                                                                    
He  thought  that  the  legislature  should  be  looking  at                                                                    
certain things  to ensure a diversified  economy. Alaska was                                                                    
still not  dealing with  the 700  thousand people  that were                                                                    
not directly  employed by or associated  with government. He                                                                    
wondered   if   the  state   would   solve   the  issue   of                                                                    
diversification  with  the  SWF  model. He  thought  it  was                                                                    
important to discuss opening up  the state's land to further                                                                    
development  opportunities,  which  in turn  could  generate                                                                    
jobs and circulate money back  into the economy. He believed                                                                    
it  was  important  to  consider  ways  other  than  oil  to                                                                    
generate revenue.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Representative  Thompson remarked  that  it  sounded like  a                                                                    
policy  discussion  for  the  legislature  to  have  in  the                                                                    
future.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld responded  that he  thought there  was a  deep                                                                    
conversation   that   needed   to   take   place   regarding                                                                    
opportunities to  diversify the  Alaskan economy.  He argued                                                                    
that  the  SWF  at  least  made it  possible  to  have  that                                                                    
conversation.  If government  exacerbated boom-bust  cycles,                                                                    
it would  play a very  destructive role in  diversifying the                                                                    
economy.  He   agreed  that  a  separate   conversation  was                                                                    
necessary. However, he believed  fiscal stability and fiscal                                                                    
prudence needed to happen first.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Representative Pruitt  asked if  it was appropriate  for the                                                                    
legislature to avoid  referring to the SWF model  as a means                                                                    
of diversifying Alaska's economy.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Mr.  Rietveld  thought  the appropriate  way  to  frame  the                                                                    
discussion  was that  the state  would  be diversifying  and                                                                    
stabilizing   its   fiscal   income  sources   rather   than                                                                    
contributing to the diversification  of the entire economy -                                                                    
a    significant    intermediate     step    to    achieving                                                                    
diversification. It  was imperative to make  sure the fiscal                                                                    
footing  was stable  and that  government fiscal  policy was                                                                    
not a hindrance to the  stability and diversification of the                                                                    
Alaskan economy.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Co-Chair   Thompson   invited   additional   questions   and                                                                    
announced the agenda for the afternoon meeting.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
ADJOURNMENT                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
10:42:25 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
The meeting was adjourned at 10:42 a.m.                                                                                         

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
HFIN- SWF Presentation_malan rietveld 1-28-16.pdf HFIN 1/28/2016 9:00:00 AM
SWF-HFIN Saudi paper.pdf HFIN 1/28/2016 9:00:00 AM
SWF-HFIN Fiscal Monitor Commodities Roller Coaster (Oct. 15).pdf HFIN 1/28/2016 9:00:00 AM